The Homecoming game is always a big game at Guelph regardless of the opponent. The UofT Varsity Blues of 2012 are not the calibre of the McMaster and Western Ontario teams we have faced the past 4 years. The intriguing thing about this year’s matchup is the revenge factor. Our loss to the Blues last year was a shocking surprise at the time. I don’t think it is hyperbole to say that it derailed our season. I expect a very motivated Gryphon team to take the field tomorrow. Homecoming brings out the best in the Gryphons.
With their season opening victory over Laurier it initially looked like UofT may be more competitive than I had expected. But they have been blown out in consecutive games by Western and Windsor bringing them to 1-2. The Blues will be looking to bounce back in this game. It was probably a misfortune for them that they faced the Lancers the week after we had upset them. The UofT website has this game story. Interesting, that after giving the ball to their running backs just 7 times against the Gryphons, the Lancers RBs had 35 carries for 224 yards versus the Blues.
What to expect tomorrow: In spite of great success running the ball in the past two games I look for the Gryphons to stay balanced. I think coaches will want to get the passing game humming. With UofT having to respect the run it should make it more difficult to defend the pass. I want to see a big day from the passing game. One player who could step up with a big game is freshman A’dre Fraser who was highlighted in a Mercury story yesterday – Gryphon rookie Fraser trying to get noticed.
I’m aware of one veteran starter on defense who won’t be playing tomorrow. Look for a true freshman to start in his place. I think the defense will have a very good game. I was going to say “their best game of the year” but when I think about it I’m not sure how you can top holding Windsor to 9 points against UofT.
Record since 2007: Guelph holds a 3-1 advantage over the Varsity Blues since 2007. In fact, last year’s upset at the Varsity Centre was the first time Toronto had defeated the Gryphons since 1995. The Gryphons hold a 20-16-1 head-to-head advantage over UofT since their first meeting in 1976. [Source: varsityblues.ca]
2011 – 21-12 Toronto
2010 – 15-13 Guelph
2009 – 53-25 Guelph
2008 – 30-0 Guelph
2007 – did not play
The CFC point spread: Toronto (1-2) at Guelph (2-1) Guelph -19
Broadcast – Televised nationally on The Score @ 1pm
Link for online stream: http://www.ssncanada.ca/team/243/
Live game stats: gryphons.ca
Preview from gryphons.ca – Gryphons hope home field advantage in front of Homecoming sellout crowd will spur them to victory